Volume 18, No. 2, 2021
Creation of a Forecasting Information System in Epidemiology based on Mathematical Modeling
Aliya Takuadina, Aliya Kintonova, Nurlan Tabriz, Anna Knaus and Natalya Demidchik
Abstract
The article is devoted to the problem of using mathematical methods for forecasting the tuberculosis epidemic in Kazakhstan using the example of the Karaganda region. The introduction of the article reflects the problem of forecasting tuberculosis in Kazakhstan. The main part of the article reflects the results of the analysis of mathematical methods for forecasting and data processing technology, describes the mathematical analysis of epidemiological indicators made with the SPSS statistical program, describes the factors affecting the incidence among contact persons, and calculates the correlation coefficient. The article shows the importance of mathematical modeling and the importance of developing a specific mathematical model that describes the spread of infection among the population.
Pages: 388-412
DOI: 10.14704/WEB/V18I2/WEB18328
Keywords: Forecasting Information System, Statistical Data Processing Software, Mathematical Methods for Forecasting, Technology in Medicine, Mathematical Analysis of Epidemiological Indicators.